2012

Ron Paul To Visit NY In Advance Of Prez Primary

The race for the GOP presidential nomination may be all but over, but someone forgot to tell Rep. Ron Paul that.

The contrarian Texas congressman, who has been quite clear that he’s running more as the head of a movement than as a real White House contender, is refusing to cede Upstate America to frontrunner Mitt Romney or former House Speaker Newt Gingrich.

The Cornell Republicans announced that Paul will pay a visit to their campus next Thursday, April 19 – five days before New York’s presidential primary – for a “Youth for Ron Paul” event.

The group’s press release states:

“Paul’s decision to come to Ithaca is undoubtedly affected by the fact that Cornell currently has the seventh largest Youth for Ron Paul chapter in the United States, with 1,381 members.”

“He will hope to rally support among students and those in the greater Ithaca community to vote in the upcoming New York state primary…With Rick Santorum’s departure from the race earlier this week, Paul will look to mobilize many in the conservative base looking for an alternative to Romney heading into the convention.”

“…There is considerable buzz around Central New York and the country at the prospect of hearing Ron Paul’s anti-establishment message at an Ivy League institution. There is also enthusiasm from students to hear his invigorated plan for America’s future.”

The event will take place at the Lynah Rink, as a large turnout is expected. It will be co-sponsored by the Cornell Republicans and Cornell Libertarians. Tickets are free.

CapTon reported yesterday that Gingrich, who is being backed by 2010 GOP gubernatorial hopeful Carl Paladino, is scheduled to make appearances in the Buffalo-Rochester area on April 20 – one day after the state GOP dinner at Gingrich and now-former White House contender Rick Santorum were scheduled to appear.

For some reason, Paul didn’t make it onto the dinner invite list.

State GOP Chairman Ed Cox had been eagerly predicting that New York’s primary would play a key role in the presidential nomination contest, thanks to the unsettled field. But Santorum’s departure dashed the chairman’s hopes, leaving Romney far out in front of his remaining competitors.

According to a Siena poll released this week, Romney has the support of 51 percent of New York Republicans, leading his closest opponent, Santorum, by 18 percentage points.

Paul got 11 percent of the vote and Gingrich six percent.

Maloney Nets First Dem Committee Endorsement

Democratic Congressional hopeful Sean Maloney is awash in money and, as Liz scooped, the backing of the DCCC, but up until today he couldn’t lay claim to the backing of local committees.

Maloney, a former Patersona and Spitzer administration hand, unveiled his first local Democratic committee endorsement from the Southeast Democratic Committee, a move that his campaign called a “true momentum builder.”

“Our committee definitively agreed that Sean Patrick Maloney has the knowledge, pragmatism and vision to win this November,” said Cathy Croft, Executive Director of SEDC. “Sean’s optimistic plan of how the Hudson Valley and all of America can prosper earned our enthusiastic endorsement.”

Maloney, one of three Democrats vying to take on GOP Rep. Nan Hayworth this fall, will report $310,000 in the bank from the latest fundraising cycle, though his opponents were skeptical of that claim.

“We will have the enthusiasm, boots-on-the ground and institutional support needed to hold Congresswoman Hayworth accountable for twice voting to end Medicare as we know it,” Maloney said in a statement.

He is competing against Wappingers Falls Mayor Matt Alexander and Cortland Councilman Richard Becker for the Democratic nomination.

Maloney, who does not yet live in newly drawn NY-18, earlier this week said his campaign would soon roll out key labor endorsements. The district includes Orange and Putnam counties and parts of Dutchess and Westchester.

Hayworth, meanwhile, has tried to track to the center in recent months in anticipation of a stiff challenge for a second term.

Long Calls On Gillibrand To Denounce ‘Working Mother’ Jibe (Update)

Like a red-breasted robin as a harbinger of spring, calls for denounciations and counter denounciatons is a sure sign that we’re in full election-year swing.

Kicking it today is Republican U.S. Senate candidate Wendy Long, calling on Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand to reject DNC consultant Hillary Rosen’s claim that Ann Romney “hasn’t worked a day in her life.”

“The idea of a ‘working mother’ is actually redundant and Rosen’s comments should be offensive to all people who believe in the intrinsic value of family and motherhood. Senator Gillibrand has fashioned herself as a leading voice for women as such she should immediately denounce Rosen’s remarks,” said U.S. Senate candidate Wendy Long.

It’s an interesting angle to take for Long, who has staked her appeal in the three-way primary partially on being the best woman to take on a woman in the fall. Her intra-party opponents are both men: Rep. Bob Turner and Nassau County Comptroller George Maragos.

Long, a lawyer and first-timer in electoral politics, points out that Democrats like Obama advisor David Axelrod moved quickly to distance themselves from Rosen’s remarks as well.

“As women across New York struggle to work and raise families in the face of the President’s regressive economic policies, it’s time to for Democrats to end their rhetorical war that pits mothers against mothers, wives against daughters, we all deserve better,” Long said in a statement.

Gillibrand has made women in politics a central theme of her agenda, creating the group Off the Sidelines as an effort to foster more female candidates. It’s a line that Long turned around on Gillibrand at the state convention in Rochester.

Rosen, meanwhile, hasn’t backed down from the comments.

Update: Now Turner is getting into the mix on this, too, urging that people keep their “Mitts” off Ann Romney. Yagetit?!

His campaign released the following statement, just after noon:

“Mitts off on Ann Romney. President Obama and Senator Gillibrand must immediately speak out on the insulting remarks made by an Obama campaign surrogate against Mrs. Romney. Mrs. Romney has worked for years raising a strong family, and anyone with children or grandchildren can tell you how much work that takes. Families used to be out of bounds in American politics and they should be again. An apology from the President’s campaign is in order.”

Santorum Will Stay On NY Primary Ballot

Despite his decision to suspend his presidential campaign, former Sen. Rick Santorum’s name will appear on the ballot when New York Republicans go to the polls on April 24, the state Board of Elections confirmed.

Board spokesman John Conklin told me Santorum’s campaign has until seven days before the primary to send a certification that he is withdrawing from the race. If he does that, any votes that he receives on primary day will be “null and void.”

The ballot was set quite some time ago, however. It was certified by the board on March 1, and the order – determined by lottery – will be Rep. Ron Paul, Newt Gingrich (who’s hanging on by a thread at this point), Mitt Romney and then Santorum.

Counties “theoretically” can reprint their ballots if they so choose, Conklin said, but they don’t have to. (And why they would go for the added expense – especially when they’ve got so many elections to pay for this year and are already stapped for cash as it is – is beyond me).

Ballots were printed long ago because they had to be sent to military and overseas voters 45 days before the primary date.

Since we’re on the topic, let’s review the rules of how New York’s 95 convention delegates will be allocated.

All but three of them will be up for grabs on April 24.

Fifty-eight district delegates are bound to presidential contenders based on the primary results in each of the state’s 29 congressional districts (using the congressional districts in effect in 2010 per the 2000 Census reapportionment). Each congressional district is assigned two delegates.

In each district: If no presidential contender receives 20 percent or more of the vote, the party will elect two delegates without considering the results of the primary.

Otherwise, the candidate receiving the greatest number of votes receives both delegates. These delegates are slated by the candidates prior to the primary.

Thirty-four at-large delegates are bound to presidential contenders “winner-take-most” based on the statewide primary results. These delegates are elected by the GOP’s state committee members.

If a candidate receives more than 50 percent of the vote, that candidate receives all 34 delegates. Otherwise, the delegates are distributed proportionally to those candidates receiveing 20 percent or more of the vote.

Gingrich: NY Primary Will Be Tough

Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich admitted today that he expects New York’s April 24 presidential primary to be a tough, but predicted he would pick up some of the state’s 95 delegates.

Gingrich likes his chances in the upstate region, he told our sister station News 14 in North Carolina.

“We hope to pick up some seats, particularly in upstate New York. We have delegates in a number of districts. It’s a challenging primary for us. I’ll be at the New York state party dinner this week and I’m looking forward to seeing New Yorkers.”

Former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum will also appear at the Thursday GOP dinner in Manhattan. Louisianna Gov. Bobby Jindal is delivering the keynote.

Gingrich’s main New York backer is 2010 gubernatorial nominee Carl Paladino, the wealthy western New York businessman who recently called the ex-speaker’s main rival Mitt Romney “a mope.” Paladino, who in that same Capital New York interview had some choice words about Jeffrey Immelt, seems to view the Gingrich-versus-Romney dynamic as the same as a parallel to his 2010 primary opponent, Rick Lazio.

Gingrich in New Hampshire in January said did not disavow Paladino’s support.

New York’s primary delegates are proportionally distributed unless one candidate receives more than 50 percent of the vote. A Quinnipiac poll last week puts Romney in that area, giving him 54 percent of the vote.

Gingrich has scaled back most of his campaign in recent weeks and New York’s primary could be the knock-out blow Romney is looking for against his main competition, Santorum.

Maloney: $310K On Hand (Updated)

Democratic House hopeful Sean Maloney reports today he’s raised more than $320,000 and promises “key endorsements from labor groups” and elected officials.

Maloney, one of three Democrats vying to take on Rep. Nan Hayworth in November, says he has $310,000 in the bank.

“These numbers prove that strong enthusiasm and momentum are with my candidacy,” said Sean Patrick Maloney. “We’re going to have the resources to hold the Congresswoman accountable for voting to end Medicare as we know it.”

Maloney, along with Wappingers Falls Mayor Matt Alexander and Cortland Councilman Richard Becker, is one of three Democrats vying to take on GOP Rep. Nan Hayworth.

Though he was the last of the three to enter the race, Maloney has lined up support from the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee and, as Liz noted earlier, the national party is attracted to his candidacy because of Maloney’s fundraising ability.

And while he pledged to roll out big endorsements in the coming days, his news release doesn’t mention any potential for local party committees backing his candidacy. Maloney does not live in the newly drawn NY-18, but promises that he’ll move his family there after he’s elected.

Maloney has worked in the Clinton administration and was one of several Democrats who ran for attorney general in 2006. He landed in the Spitzer administration and was a holdover for Gov. David Paterson.

Updated: Barry Caro of the Becker campaign issued a statement that was skeptical of Maloney’s numbers:

“Sean’s press release today raises more questions than answers. Here are three that jump to mind.

1) How much money did Sean raise from inside the 18th District? That number will be a clear sign of how much support Sean is getting from Democrats in the district. By way of comparison, as of the last round of FEC filings Dr. Becker had raised 86% of his donations from Nan Hayworth’s constituents.

2) How much of Sean’s money can actually be spent on the primary, versus the general election?

3) How much money is Sean’s campaign spending on paid canvassers to get him on the ballot, and how much of that is in this report? Our campaign has been overwhelmed with volunteers and has not had to spend any money on the petitioning process beyond the costs of printing and distributing petitions.

Sean Maloney seems to be counting on a financial advantage in this race; if so, he’s going to be in for a rude awakening later this week.

Lancman Blasts ‘Plant’ In NY-6

After City and State amplifed this morning a story first reported in True News that the late entry of Jeffrey Gottlieb in the NY-6 primary has caused considerable consternation from the campaign of Rory Lancman, his campaign issued a statement blasting Gottleib’s candidacy as a “charade.”

The charge is that Gottlieb, a Democratic employee of the Board of Elections in Queens, entered the race to be a spoiler and somehow siphon Jewish votes away from Lancman.

Both Lancman and Gottlieb are Jewish.

In a news released blasted out by his campaign this morning, Lancman says Gottlieb’s latest job was collecting signatures for Assemblywoman Grace Meng, who has received the lion’s share of the establishment endorsements.

“The County organization is panicked by the strength of my candidacy,” Lancman said in a statement, “but cynically fleecing Jewish voters with a sham candidacy by a longtime party hack is particularly appalling. Voters will rightfully see through this charade, and the party insiders responsible for this hatchet job should be ashamed of their attempt to deny the Jewish community a fair and legitimate election.”

Also running in the race is Councilwoman Liz Crowley, a cousin of Queens Democratic Chairman Joe Crowley.

Lancman, who has positioned himself as the pro-labor candidate through a series of union endorsements,

Duffy Hints At Involvement In Slaughter-Brooks Race

ICYMI: While making a budget victory stop in his hometown of Rochester, LG Bob Duffy weighed in – albeit briefly – on the local clash of the political titans congressional race between Rep. Louise Slaughter and Monroe County Executive Maggie Brooks, and hinted he might get involved sometime down the road.

The former Rochester mayor-turned-LG said he left a voicemail on Slaughter’s cellphone after learning form the local news that she had fallen and broken her leg earlier in the week.

Duffy said he “wanted to wish her the best.” He hasn’t yet heard back from Slaughter, although he didn’t expect to, adding: “I sense she will recover very, very quickly; she’s tough…knowing her she will bounce back.”

The LG gave a shout-out to President Obama for being a “class act” and giving credit to Slaughter for pushing the STOCK Act even though she couldn’t make it to the signing ceremony.

When asked about Slaughter vs. Brooks, Duffy replied:

“I think the best thing I can do at this point is focus on serving the governor and let those races evolve. As always, I think people get involved when it gets closer to the election. It’s not quite the crazy season yet for politics, we’re still early on.”

“I have so much to do, I think I’ll keep my attention and time focused on that. At some point, I’m sure we’ll get involved, but probably not at this point.”

The Cuomo administration has been judicious and sparing in its political involvement since the governor took office last January.

There were a lot of endorsements by press release during last year’s political races, and a few in-person appearances by the governor (on behalf of Erie County Executive Mark Poloncarz, who defeated Republican incumbent Chris Collins, widely viewed as a potential Cuomo opponent in 2014, and also for Suffolk County Executive Steve Bellone).

Cuomo recorded a video endorsement for Rep. Kathy Hochul in last year’s special election, but left it to Duffy to travel to WNY do the personal appearances.

The governor recorded a robocall for Assemblyman David Weprin’s failed special election bid in NY-9 last fall. He reportedly was set to record TV and radio spots, too, but I don’t believe that ever actually occurred, although there was a mailer.

Cuomo notably didn’t lift a finger to assit NYC Councilman Lew Fidler, who’s locked in a incredibly tight battle with Republican David Storobin over former Sen. Carl Kruger’s Brooklyn seat – a pretty good sign, along with his signing over the GOP’s redistricting plan, of where his sentiments lie in the upcoming re-match over control of the majority.

All this is to say that it will be quite interesting to see where Cuomo decides to get involved this year – particularly when it comes to the House races, of which there are arguably a few – including the Slaughter-Brooks battle – that might not have occurred had the governor heeded calls from national Democrats not to let the special master’s redistricting maps go unchallenged.

In the end, Cuomo did not get involved on behalf of the Democratic delegation – much to the chagrin of certain House members.

As a result, the Democrats are defending some vulnerable members in a state where they expected to pick up seats (and still might, given the presidential election year dynamic).

Long: Turner And Maragos Not Making A Dent

There’s some clever spin jujitsu coming out of Wendy Long’s press shop this afternoon in response to today’s Q-poll that shows all of the Republican U.S. Senate hopefuls polling in the mid-to-low 20s against incumbent Kirsten Gillibrand.

Essentially, Long, who is making her first run for public office, says her “office holding opponents” aren’t resonating well with New York voters.

“Two things from today’s Quinnipiac poll are abundantly clear; Senator Gillibrand is vulnerable and my two current office holding opponents in the Republican primary have not made much of an impact on the voters of New York State.

Conventional GOP candidates have thrice tried and thrice failed to beat Kirsten Gillibrand. Having never run for office, I am not surprised that New Yorkers are only just getting familiar with me.

I believe the best candidate to beat Senator Gillibrand is the one who can credibly, consistently and unapologetically take on her shameful record of higher taxes and gas prices and fewer jobs and opportunities.

I’m confident that as voters get to know me they will be won over to my common sense agenda which is based on adherence to our Constitution that is being trampled on by President Obama and Kirsten Gillibrand.”

Long hit 25 percent, while Rep. Bob Turner led with 27 percent. The poll put Maragos, the Nassau County comptroller, at 23 percent.

Gillibrand To Report $1.5M Raised, $9.1M In Bank

Coinciding with some healthy numbers in today’s Q-poll, U.S. Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand will report raising more than $1.5 million this fundraising quarter and has more than $9 million in the bank.

The numbers aren’t all that surprising, considering Gillibrand’s well-established ability to fund-raise, which dates back to her first House run in 2006.

Gillibrand will face one of three Republicans vying for the GOP nomination: attorney Wendy Long, Nassau Comptroller George Maragos and Rep. Bob Turner.

As Liz pointed out earlier, Gillibrand holds wide leads over all three challengers, with none polling above 27 percent. Both Long and Turner didn’t jump in the race until earlier this year and Maragos has been seeking the nomination for nearly a full calendar year now.

While we don’t have the top lines from the challengers yet this morning, the robust numbers and fundraising cash on hand for Gillibrand indicates she’s about to bring a political bazooka to a knife fight.

Here’s the email from Gillibrand’s campaign spokesman Glen Caplin:

According to a new Quinnipiac University Poll released today, Senator Gillibrand’s approval rating has soared to 60%, her all-time high in the poll. The Quinnipiac poll, which follows a recent Siena Poll showing Gillibrand with her highest approval and lowest disapproval numbers by Siena in 8 months, gives the Senator a more than 2 to 1 lead over her three potential Republican challengers. In her upcoming FEC filing for the end of the first quarter, Gillibrand will report over $1.5 million raised this quarter and cash-on-hand of over $9.1 million. Gillibrand will end the quarter with over $11.7 million raised to-date for the current campaign cycle.