Here’s the analysis of a poll conducted for the New Roosevelt Initiative by Red Horse Strategies that reveals Senate Majority Leader Pedro Espada Jr. is likely to survive the Sept. 14 primary if it remains a three-way race.

As I reported in the DN this morning, the establishement – including New Roosevelt, the WFP, SEIU 1199, the state Democratic Party leaders and others – are lining up behing Gustavo Rivera, a former aide to Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand.

But the third Democrat in the race, attorney Dan Padernacht, is so far rebuffing attempts to push him out of the race, thus improving Espada’s chances of winning next month.

“I’m really not giving much credence to their polling,” Padernacht told me.

“A select few people are trying to pick the candidate and have the power within their own hands. That’s completely contrary to democracy.”

Sd 33 Nri Viability Poll Analysis